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Weather Alert Detail

  • Hydrologic Outlook for Sumter County, Georgia
  • Hydrologic Outlook issued March 06 at 9:27AM EST by NWS
  • Effective: Thursday, March 6, 2014 at 9:27 a.m.
  • Expires: Friday, March 7, 2014 at 6 p.m.
  • ...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...
    FOR THE SPRING OF 2014...THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
    CALLING FOR A NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL
    FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. GIVEN THAT SPRING IS A
    CHARACTERISTICALLY ACTIVE PERIOD FOR RIVER FLOODING...THIS OUTLOOK
    INDICATES THAT NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA CAN EXPECT TO SEE A
    NEARLY-TYPICAL NUMBER OF RIVER FLOODS WITH A SIMILAR FLOOD
    MAGNITUDE.
    ...EXISTING CONDITIONS...
    SOIL MOISTURE...UPPER AND LOWER SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS HAVE
    BECOME WET IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO RECENT WEATHER
    SYSTEMS PRODUCING ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE WINTER SEASON.
    AVERAGE DAILY STREAM FLOWS FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS HAVE BEEN RUNNING
    NEAR NORMAL ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS
    IN THE COOSA-TALLAPOOSA RIVER BASIN AVERAGING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
    STREAMFLOW.
    CLIMATE REGIME...A NEAR NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN HAS PERSISTED THROUGH
    THE WINTER MONTHS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE SPRING. THIS
    PATTERN HAS CONTRIBUTED TO STORM TRACKS THAT HAVE BROUGHT
    SUBSTANTIAL PRECIPITATION TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ABOUT EVERY 3
    TO 5 DAYS. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ABOUT
    EVERY TWO WEEKS.
    RAINFALL...DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION HAS
    PREVAILED OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS AREA WAS GENERALLY
    110 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 25
    INCHES. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED A FEW TIMES
    ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA IN JANUARY...AND ISOLATED MINOR
    FLOODING OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA IN FEBRUARY.
    RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...OVERALL POOL LEVELS OF THE MAJOR
    RESERVOIRS IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE NEAR OR ABOVE TARGET
    LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH A FEW ALREADY APPROACHING SUMMER
    POOL LEVELS. NORMAL RAINFALL SHOULD ALLOW RESERVOIRS TO BE FILLED TO
    SUMMER POOL CRITERIA.
    METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...THE SOUTHEAST U.S. MOVES INTO A MORE
    TRANSITIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE SPRING WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF
    HEAVY RAIN. THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY IS FOR EQUAL
    CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL
    GEORGIA. A NEUTRAL ENSO PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE
    SPRING...DEVELOPING INTO EL NINO THIS SUMMER.
    ...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
    CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS AND THE
    PRE-EXISTING ABOVE NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS...THE OUTLOOK IS FOR A
    NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCE OF FLOODING THIS SPRING IN
    NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
    &&
    FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
    FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...GO TO:
    WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA
    AND UNDER CURRENT WEATHER...CLICK ON "RIVERS/LAKES".
    FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:
    HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP
    FOR FORECAST PRECIPITATION...GO TO:
    WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/?N=QPFPAGEHPC24